CA125 as a predictive marker for optimal interval debulking surgery in advanced ovarian cancer

J Clin Oncol.2011 May 20;29(15_suppl):e15543.
Abstract
e15543 Background: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by interval debulking surgery (IDS) is an accepted treatment for patients with advanced ovarian cancer. It is unclear, however, whether achieving optimal IDS can be predicted by preoperative analysis using imaging (CT and MRI) or by measuring cancer antigen (CA) 125 levels. The aim of the present study was to assess whether CA125 values can be used to identify patients who are candidates for optimal IDS following NAC for advanced ovarian cancer.
METHODS:
Eighty-one women diagnosed with ovarian cancer (6 FIGO IIIA and 75 IIIC) between 1995 and 2010, with serum CA125 levels greater than 40 IU/mL prior to NAC that underwent NAC followed by IDS, were retrospectively evaluated. After each NAC, CA 125 levels were measured and CA125 regression rates ([pre first NAC CA125 - pre each NAC CA125]/pre first NAC CA125) were calculated. Optimal IDS was defined as the largest volume of residual disease less than 1 cm in the maximal dimension. The ability of CA125 values and patient and disease characteristics to predict optimal IDS was determined by univariate and multivariate analyses.
RESULTS:
On univariate analysis, CA125 regression rates from pre first NAC to pre second NAC and from pre first NAC to pre third NAC, and CA125 levels before IDS were statistically significant (p less than 0.01). On multivariate analysis, CA125 level before IDS was an independent predictor of optimal IDS (p less than 0.01). The CA125 level cut-off point before IDS for optimal IDS calculated using a receiver operating characteristic curve was 9 IU/mL.
CONCLUSIONS:

In this retrospective study, a pre-IDS CA125 level of 9 IU/mL or less predicted optimal IDS.